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What can the “January barometer” tell us about the rest of this year?

4 Feb 2026 | Commentary

The first month of the year is behind us and despite what feels like a year's worth of market drama, the US sharemarket posted another healthy gain. It rose 1.4 per cent in January, a very solid return that was above the 1.1 per cent average for all of the January's since 1950. That bodes well for the balance of this year, according to the "January Barometer".

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What can the “January barometer” tell us about the rest of this year?

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